Nigeria’s Cities Set For Population Boom, But Challenges Loom
Nigeria’s Cities to Double by 2050 Amid Economic Growth Prospects
Urban Population Surge
NIGERIA’S urban population is set to more than double over the next 25 years, reaching an estimated 264 million by 2050, the World Bank projects. This increase represents an additional 140.3 million people moving into Nigerian cities, placing unprecedented demand on housing, infrastructure, and social services.
Currently, Nigeria’s urban population stands at around 128 million, with nearly half residing in slums. By mid-century, it is expected that 70 per cent of Nigerians will live in urban areas, making cities central to the country’s economic development.
Economic Outlook
Despite the challenges posed by rapid urbanisation, Nigeria’s economy is expected to grow at 4.4 per cent in both 2026 and 2027. The World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects 2026 report attributes the projected growth to macroeconomic reforms, a vibrant services sector, and Nigeria’s emergence as a net exporter of refined petroleum.
The report also highlights the role of finance, ICT, and modest improvements in agriculture as key drivers of economic recovery. Recent policy measures, such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate unification, have helped stabilise the macroeconomic environment.
Urbanisation Challenges
However, the Bank cautions that unchecked urban growth could undermine development. Unplanned expansion, infrastructure deficits, and service delivery gaps remain major obstacles. The report recommends strategic planning and investment to transform Nigerian cities into livable, resilient, and inclusive urban centres.
